Auditable Climate Risk Intelligence from Fragmented ESG Data: Deterministic Orchestration and Imbalance-Aware Learning for Scope 1-3 Validation

Summary

arXiv:2606.02604v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: ESG and climate risk data remain fragmented across heterogeneous Scope 1, Scope 2, and Scope 3 reporting environments, while conventional validation pipelines lack provenance aware auditability, hidden drift detection, and reproducibility oriented governance. This paper proposes a deterministic climate risk intelligence framework integrating single source of truth orchestration, temporal anomaly detection, imbalance aware ensemble learning, and explainability oriented governance for auditable ESG validation. To support open reproducibility, we construct and release a synthetic ESG validation benchmark calibrated against publicly reported characteristics of the GHG Protocol, PCAF, and ISSB standards.